Bitcoin, British pound trading volume soars 1,150% as UK’s currency risks dollar parity

Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) will see increased interest from the United Kingdom “very quickly” as fiat currency volatility makes BTC look like a stablecoin.

That was the conclusion from Gabor Gurbacs, strategy adviser at investment giant VanEck, who was one of many flagging Bitcoin’s appeal over the pound this week.

U.K. becomes fertile ground for Bitcoin “orange pill”

As the U.S. dollar runs rampant, its strength has come at the expense of trading partner currencies, notably the euro, pound and Japanese yen.

The pound’s disintegration gathered pace this week as GBP/USD hit its lowest on record at nearly $1.03.

With the United Kingdom’s central bank, the Bank of England, avoiding interventions so far, nerves are showing as purchasing power takes a double hit from currency weakness and inflation at 4-year highs.

“The United Kingdom will get orange-pilled very quickly given GBP volatility,” Gurbacs predicted.

“Given that the UK is now outside of the EU bureaucratic apparatus, it will get another chance to become a Bitcoin hub. I think UK leaders will use this opportunity reasonably well.”

The pound was down nearly 25% year-to-date at one point in dollar terms. While data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that Bitcoin beats it at 56%, the longer the time horizon, the more attractive a BTC hedge becomes.

“Over the past four years the dollar has collapsed -67% gains USD,” Michael Saylor, executive chairman and former CEO of MicroStrategy, noted in his own assessment of fiat currency losses on Sept. 26.

BTC/USD vs. GBP/USD chart. Source: TradingView

According to data from CoinShares head of research James Butterfill, trade volume for the GBP/BTC pair on exchanges Bitstamp and Bitfinex, usually worth a combined $70 million per day, hit a giant $881 million on Sept. 26 — an increase of over 1,150%.

Butterfill argued this showed that “When a FIAT currency is threatened, investors start to favour Bitcoin.”

Reacting, Saifedean Ammous, author of the popular book The Bitcoin Standard, called the phenomenon “fascinating.”

GBP/USD trade volume on Bitstamp, Bitfinex chart. Source: James Butterfill/Twitter

G20 is “starting to understand” the need for a BTC hedge

Gurbacs, meanwhile, acknowledged that while he “might be too optimistic about the UK,” G20 countries could yet enact a major policy shift vis-a-vis BTC acceptance.

Related: Bitcoin gains 5% to reclaim $20K, eyes first ‘green’ September since 2016

“Like gold, Bitcoin could be a hedge against their own policies. Which is worth a small % allocation and support,” he continued.

“Some are starting to understand this.”

Beyond the pound, data shows that the major fiat currencies are suffering more at the hands of a surging greenback than those of emerging markets (EMs).

“The tables have turned,” Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, declared this week.

“Emerging markets like Brazil and Mexico are year-to-date outperforming G10 currencies against the Dollar. This is a big pivot in global markets that’s unprecedented. EM monetary policy is these days more orthodox than in advanced economies. Well done EM…”

An accompanying chart from Bloomberg showed the Brazilian real and Mexican peso gaining even on the dollar in 2022.

The pound brought up the rear along with the yen, while the Russian ruble was notably absent, having hit its highest in dollars since 2015.

Fiat currency returns vs. U.S. dollar as of Sept. 26. Source: Robin Brooks/Twitter

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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