Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have been volatile in the past two days as the cryptocurrency markets come to terms with the actions of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against two of the biggest crypto exchanges, Binance and Coinbase.
After the initial knee-jerk reaction to the news and the subsequent rebound, markets are likely to enter a range as traders reflect upon the uncertainty around the lawsuits. The initial response has been encouraging as the markets have not collapsed, indicating the growing maturity of the crypto space.
Glassnode data shows a decline of 12,600 Bitcoin from exchange balances on June 5 and 6, indicating that traders kept their cool and did not panic as they had done during the FTX episode in November.
What are the critical support levels to watch for on the downside? Will lower levels attract buyers? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin snapped back from the vital support at $25,250 on June 6, indicating that the bulls are trying to fiercely guard the level. However, the recovery is facing selling near the moving averages.
The bears will make another attempt to tug the price to $25,250. This remains the key level to keep an eye on because a break and close below it may open the doors for a potential fall to $20,000. Such a deep fall may delay the start of the next leg of the up-move.
The bulls are expected to aggressively purchase the dips to the zone between $25,250 and the support line of the channel. On the upside, buyers will have to thrust the price above the resistance line of the channel to signal the end of the corrective phase. The BTC/USDT pair may then rally to $31,000.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) dipped below the resistance line of the falling wedge pattern on June 5 but the bears could not build upon the strength. This shows demand at lower levels.
The bulls propelled the price back above the moving averages on June 6 but met with heavy selling pressure from the bears. The sellers will again try to sink the price into the wedge. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair could extend the decline to the support line of the wedge.
On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the resistance line of the wedge, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the line into support. Buyers will have to drive the price above $1,928 to start the northward march to $2,000 and subsequently to $2,200.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) plummeted sharply on June 5, which yanked the price below the strong support at $280. There was a meek attempt to start a recovery on June 6 but the bears did not allow the price to sustain above $280.
The selling resumed on June 7 and the bears have dragged the price below the crucial support at $265. This is a negative sign as it suggests the start of a new downward move to $240 and then to the vital support at $220.
If bulls want to make a comeback, they will have to push the price back above the breakdown level of $265. If they can pull it off, the BNB/USDT pair could pull back to $280 and later to the 20-day exponential moving average ($299).
XRP price analysis
In an up-move, traders generally buy the dip to the 20-day EMA ($0.49) and they did just that in XRP (XRP) on June 5 and 6 as seen from the long tail on the candlesticks.
However, the bears are not ready to give up easily. They continue to sell on rallies to the resistance zone between $0.56 and $0.59. If the price turns down sharply and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears want to keep the range between $0.30 and $0.56 intact.
Meanwhile, buyers are likely to have other plans. They will try to clear the overhead hurdle and if they do that, it will indicate the start of a new uptrend. The XRP/USDT pair could rally to $0.60 and then to $0.80.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) tumbled below the uptrend line of the ascending triangle pattern on June 5, invalidating the bullish setup.
The bulls purchased the dip on June 5 but could not kick the price back inside the channel. This suggests that bears are trying to flip the uptrend line into resistance. The selling continued on June 7 and the bears yanked the price below $0.33. The ADA/USDT pair could descend to the strong support at $0.30.
On the upside, the first sign of strength will be a close inside the channel. Such a move will suggest that the break below the channel may have been a bear trap. The pair could attract strong buying above $0.39.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the immediate support at $0.07 on June 5 but rebounded sharply off the support near $0.06.
The bulls tried to propel the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.07) on June 6 but the bears sold the rally. This indicates that the bears have not given up and they continue to sell near stiff resistance. The downsloping moving averages and the relative strength index in the negative territory indicate that bears have an edge. The bears will attempt to sink the price below $0.06.
If bulls want to make a comeback, they will have to push the price back above the 20-day EMA. The DOGE/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $0.08.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) slipped below the $0.82 support on June 6 but the bulls aggressively purchased the dip as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
Buyers tried to sustain the price above the breakdown level of $0.82 but the bears had other plans. They sold aggressively on June 7 and pulled the price below the June 6 low of $0.79. This suggests the resumption of the downtrend. The MATIC/USDT pair could next drop to the strong support at $0.69.
If bears want to prevent the decline, they will have to quickly push the price back above $0.82. That may trap the aggressive bears, resulting in a short squeeze, which could push the price back toward $0.94.
Related: ARK Invest buys Coinbase shares the same day SEC serves lawsuit
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) rebounded off the strong support at $18.70 on June 5 and 6 as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlesticks but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($20.50).
This indicates that the bears remain active at higher levels. If the price continues lower and breaks below the $18.70 support, the SOL/USDT pair may start a down move toward the next support at $15.28.
Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the current level or $15.28, it will indicate demand at lower levels. The bulls will then try to drive the price above $22.30. If they succeed, the pair may climb to $24 and later attempt a rally to $27.12.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) collapsed below the crucial support of $5.15 on June 5 but bounced back sharply on June 6 and rose above the breakdown level.
The bulls could not continue the recovery on June 7 as the bears sold the minor rally. Sellers will try to strengthen their position further by pulling the price below $4.90. If they manage to do that, the DOT/USDT pair may nose-dive to $4.22.
On the upside, the first crucial resistance to watch out for is the 20-day EMA ($5.29). A rally above this level will be the first indication that the selling pressure may be reducing. The pair may pick up momentum above $5.56.
Litecoin price analysis
Litecoin (LTC) plunged below the moving averages on June 5 and recovered sharply on June 6 but the bulls could not sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($90). This suggests that bears are selling on rallies.
The bears will try to drag the price to the uptrend line. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break and close below it will signal the start of a potential downward move. The LTC/USDT pair could first fall to $75 and thereafter to $65.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level or the uptrend line, it will suggest that the pair may remain stuck inside the triangle for a while longer. The bulls will have to catapult the price above the triangle to start the next leg of the up-move.
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This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.